Week 13 Arabian Peninsula 1960-2003



The British Retreat from the Arabian Gulf


By 30 October 1967 the British had sent  Goronwy Roberts a leading diplomat from the Foreign Office ot the Gulf to inform the various local rulers of the British decision to abandon their political engagement in the Gulf (Kelly J. B., 1980, p. 61).  At the time Britain was facing a severe economic crisis. The value of the British pound sterling had dropped and this in part forced large cuts in public spending. On 9 January Roberts met with the rulers of the Trucial States and informed them of the British decision to withdraw from the Gulf.  The cost of maintaining British troops in the Gulf was estimated to cost about £12 million per year.  Although the ruling Sheikhs of the oil producing sheikhdoms of Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Bahrain and Qater offered to pay or to supplement the cost of maintaining British support.  But the British would refuse this offer for a variety of complex reasons germane to British domestic and foreign influences.
The trucial system that had been in place since the 1820s when the British invaded the Gulf in their claim to end piracy and protection of maritime trade.  The various peace agreements or truces that were forced along the southern shore of the Gulf from Abu Dhabi to Ras al-Khaimah required the local authorities or shaikhs to keep peace among themselves during the annual season for pearling and fishing. In exchange Britain would patrol the Gulf and keep the peace at sea.  In effect, the British were exerting greater control over the scale of trade and monopolized the routes of trade by requiring permits to be paid for.  In addition the British required and directed all trade to Bushire, Bahrain  or Indian coast ports under their control.  By the 1880s and 1890s further agreement were in place that required Bahrain and the Trucial States to relinquish or give up all direct foreign negotiations and border claims to British decision making.  This was an act of imperialism that extended the British Empire’s command and control of important sea ports and trading areas. 
By February of 1968 the idea of a Federation of Arab Emirates, that would include the Trucial States, Qatar and Bahrain had been discussed in formal diplomatic talks. Meanwhile the Shah of Iran whose country’s wealth and military were a force in the region expressed concern against such a federation or alliance.  The Shah’s mere threats whether voiced or implied would later present difficulty over the next few years.  The Shah claimed a historical claim over Bahrain as a one-time Iranian province.  While such claims were dubious it nevertheless presented the very real threat of intervention and opposition by the Shah of Iran to a wider Federation for the Southern Gulf (Kelly J. B., 1980, p. 71).  The resulting pressure played a role in splitting the Federation into smaller units so that only the Trucial States and not Qatar and Bahrain would be consolidated into the new formed United Arab Emirates at the end of 1971.  The Shah of Iran also used his military forces amid the interval of transition into the formation of the UAE to occupy the Tunb islands off of Ras al-Khaimah.  The Shah’s seizure of the Tunb islands was apparently done with the tacit approval of the British who in the waning months before their formal departure from the Gulf did nothing to stop the Shah.


Oil, Development and International Politics of the Arab World

In the 1970s oil became a major force in Arab economic development.  The geography and location of oil was however uneven.  Some largely populated or older countries, like Egypt, Lebanon , Jordan and Syria, had little or no oil, while other countries possessed vast reserves of oil deposits. 
The first significant discoveries of oil in the Arab world occurred in the late 1920s and 1930s, primarily in Saudi Arabia and the upper Gulf region.  This enabled Iraq, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait for instance to begin to grow infrastructures and connections with Western oil companies to exploit their oil deposits.  The earliest oil discoveries and concessions to explore oil occurred in Iran in 1908 and Iraq in 1927.  The upper Gulf region was successfully explored for oil in 1931.  At this time there was a reliance on British and American oil companies to explore for oil, and so Standard Oil of California made its first discovery of oil in Bahrain in 1932, while CalTex (later known as Texaco) struck oil in Kuwait in 1938 and finally Standard Oil of California found significant reserves in Eastern Saudi Arabia in 1938 (Rogan, 2012, p. 447).  These discoveries proved especially important for the Western Allies of Britain and the United States when World War II broke out just a year later, as both countries needed oil for their navies.  There is also much discussion among historians that a significant reason for both Japan’s and Germany’s aggressive expansion and occupation of new territories in Asia and in Europe was out of a need to obtain oil supplies.
The original formula for these Western oil companies was for them to pay a limited amount of royalties to the host nation from which they extracted the oil but to keep the profits for themselves.  During the decades of the 1940s-1970s, this formula made Standard Oil, Texaco, Mobil, British Petroleum and other oil companies enormous profits, wealth and power.  It led to a massive investment and expansion of their interests to control all phases of oil from its initial extraction out of the ground, to its shipping, its refinement and ultimately its sale in retail.  It was a kind of shared monopoly among the seven most prominent oil companies, including Shell Oil.  By the 1950s the oil producing states exerted demands for greater control and forced the formation of a joint operative company that would be under Saudi auspices and control.  This company was named ARAMCO and was a jointly operated venture between Exxon (formerly Standard Oil of New Jersey) and Chevron (formerly Standard Oil of California), and Texaco, and Mobil.  It is revealing to note however that in this period the amount of taxes paid to the US government by these four oil companies was greater in this period than all of the revenues paid to the Saudi government (Rogan, 2012, p. 448).
Other new oil producing countries outside of the Arab world were receiving better margins.  For instance, Venezuela, the major Latin American oil producing country, had negotiated a 50:50 division of oil returns in concessions made with the oil companies in 1943.  It was not until 1950 that Saudi Arabia finally obtained a similar rate.  This 50:50 formula remained intact until the oil crisis of 1973  While the United States had long been an oil producer, it was also a major oil importer as its consistent demand exceeded its production. Europe which had little or no oil was also a major importer and market for oil produced in the Arab countries.   Eventually other oil producing nations also arose, including the Soviet Union, Indonesia and Nigeria who became major oil exporters for the world market.  Oil was also discovered and began to explored in Algeria in 1956 and in Libya in 1959.  Libya alone chose to reward oil contracts to independent oil companies under the assumption they would be more efficient, resilient and would pay more for their rights to extract oil (Rogan, 2012, p. 451). 
Two wars changed the outlook of oil producing countries in the Arab world.  These were the 1967 War in which Israel aggressively seized Jerusalem and the West Bank from Jordan, and seized the entire Sinai Peninsula and the Gaza territories.  This effectively rendered Palestinians who lived in these lands under Jordanian or Egyptian domain as occupied residents of an illegal Israeli occupation.  The 1967 defeat also spelled a major blow to the continuity and development of the Nasser government in Egypt, that ruled Egypt since 1952.  The seizure of the Sinai and the presence of Israeli troops along the eastern half of the Suez Canal also threatened the stability of oil shipments by tanker through the Suez Canal to Europe.  The lasting effect and threat of expansion of war led to the October War of 1973, in which Anwar Sadat, the President of Egypt ordered the crossing of the Suez Canal by Egyptian forces and the seizure of the Sinai Peninsula.  Although the eventual counterattack by Israel led to the reconquest of the Sinai, as well as a long and protracted battle for control of the Golan Heights in Syria, it is the following diplomatic stance by the Arab countries that became significant after October of 1973.  An excellent documentary series on the aftermath of the war and its diplomacy is found here.
The 1967 War also affected developments in Libya where in 1969 a coup was launched by Col. Qadhafi and other members of the military against King Idris I of Libya.  Qadhafi an avowed socialist but also a supporter of Arab unity, considered himself an heir to Gamal Abdul Nasser, the President of Egypt who died in 1970.  Qadhafi moved quickly to force major concessions from one of the independent oil companies that operated in Libya and gained a rise in oil prices and a new concession of 55:45 thus breaking the 50:50 formula that had prevailed (Rogan, 2012).
It was also in these intervening years between the two wars, that the Gulf states emerged with full independence from British protection or presence that had been around since about 1820.  As of 1968 there were still nine Gulf states under technical protection of the British.  These were;  Bahrain; Qatar, Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Sharjah, Ras al-Khaima, Um al-Qiwain, Fujayra and ‘Ajman.  Internal economic crises also forced Britain’s disengagement from the Gulf region and it accelerated the forces of state formation and union that resulted in the United Arab Emirates and the separate formation of Qatar and Bahrain. There were however diplomatic challenges in resolving the problems of Iranian claims to the islands of the Arabian Gulf, as well as the claims of the Shah of Iran to Bahrain itself.   
In the immediate aftermath of the 1973 war, King Faisal of Saudi Arabia and other Arab members of OPEC the Oil Petroleum Exporting Countries, met and issued an ultimatum and a boycott of shipment of oil as a protest against Israel’s actions and occupation.  This forced a major rise in the price of oil worldwide as massive shortages ensued.  It also forced the Western governments to pressure Israel to accept a diplomatic initiative from President Sadat of Egypt.  These were the Camp David Accords, that provided for the return of Sinai to Egypt and the restoration of shipping in the Suez Canal.   In response to the 1973 war, Arab oil producing states were successful in achieving a significant increase in oil prices and in the percentages of their own control of profits and to take increased ownership of their own resources, refining, distribution and financing. 

 

Iraq:  1958-1978

Between 1958 and 1979, Iraq underwent a complicated history that saw a republican movement absorbed within a military dictatorship.  In July 1958 a military coup, led by General ‘Abdul Karim Qassim, launched a military strike and killed the king and the long-time loyalist Prime Nuri al-Said.  In one quick blow the constitutional monarchy that had been in place in Iraq since 1924 was replaced by a military declaration of the new Republic of Iraq.  The new government announced an implemented national development plans that sought to use the new oil revenues to promote education and infrastructure.  Among these plans was land reform law that forced redistribution of land to peasants that by 1971 resulted in substantial improvements in land ownership by poorer farming families (Abdullah, 2003, p. 160).  Despite this the real push for development was urbanization and the expansion of services paid for by the expanding national oil revenues.  Within a year however serious opposition arose from the ranks of the influential Ba’ath Party and in 1959 attempts at assassinations and military coups (including a failed attempt by the young Saddam Hussein) showed the limits of the new military government (Abdullah, 2003, p. 163).  The Ba’athists were a political party that originated in Syria and that fused liberal ideas of freedom with socialism.  When Qasim threatened to annex Kuwait in 1961, Britain mobilized politically and granted Kuwait full independence.  In 1962 ‘Abdul Salam ‘Arif and other officers led a military coup that toppled Qasim.  ‘Arif and his brother ruled from a relatively weak position and encountered regional resistance from Iraqi Kurds.  Behind the scenes two military officers from the town of Tikrit consolidated and reorganized the Ba’ath Party.  These were Ahmad Hassan al-Bakr and Saddam Hussein who in 1968 were able to mount another military coup that toppled ‘Arif’s government and placed them into power.  By this time nationalization of the oil sector had been completed and the rich southern fields brought into full production.  National development was remarkable on a number of fronts, including the dramatic rise in literacy and the granting of free education and success in promoting women’s education.  Yet serious conflicts continued and the expansion of security services and internal repression resulted in overly consolidated state power and in 1978 a campaign against the Kurds was waged that resulted in destruction of man of their villages and displacement.  By 1979 Al-Bakr resigned, claiming poor health, to allow Saddam Hussein to take full control of the Iraqi government and the Ba’ath Party.  The dictatorship of Saddam Hussein was now begun and total in its power.

Saddam Hussein and Iraq 1979-2003


The seizure of power in 1979 by Saddam Hussein led to an intense personality cult promoted by the state in the media and in the schools.  As Saddam Hussein’s rise to power coincided with the Iranian Revolution, the real opposition to the Baath Party came from the Shi’i population.  The chief opposition now was the Shia population whose leader Ayatollah Sadr and his sister were arrested and killed by the state.  Soon however, the rivalry with Iran over territory and control of the lower waterways of the Shatt al-Arab led to an announcement of war by Saddam Hussein against Iraq.

The first of the regional Gulf wars may be considered to be the long Iran-Iraq War that lasted during most of the 1980s.  This war was launched by President Saddam Hussein of Iraq, who after a series of border skirmishes and air attacks in early September of 1980, ordered up thousands of reserves for the Iraqi army and ordered an invasion of Iran by some 45,000 Iraqi troops. Saddam claimed the reason for the invasion was to reclaim territory within Iran in which Iranians of Arab heritage lived.  When he attacked into Iranian territory it provoked a prolonged series of counterattacks and air bombardments by both sides.  The war would stop for some periods and then resume and both sides faced difficult conditions in fighting from trenches and in the southern cities of Iran, including Khorramshahr, and passageways of the lower Gulf waterways between Iran and Iraq (Axworthy, 2013).  The Iranians had air superiority and much better trained air force, while on the ground both forces were about equal.  When the war spread to Kurdistan in the north of Iraq, the use of chemical weapons by Iraqi forces was also a dangerous and questionable tactic during the war.  It was this use that gave the direct evidence for putting Saddam Hussein on trial for war crimes after his capture during the Second Gulf War of 2003.  In the end both sides agreed to a truce and an end to conflict in 1988. 

The Invasion of Kuwait in 1990 and the First Gulf War of 1991 and Allied Invasion of Iraq in 2003 

 

Saddam Hussein’s decision to invade Kuwait on August 2, 1990 was not only a violation of international law that upholds national sovereignty but it was also to a large degree motivated by internal crisis within Iraq.  The end of the Iran-Iraq war had been costly to Iraq’s economy and with over 500,000 soldiers still in uniform about to be released there was a general problem with unemployment in Iraq with the stagnation of the economy (Abdullah, 2003).  The result of the invasion and occupation of Kuwait in 1990 was the formation of an international alliance or coalition that included the GCC countries, the United States, Britain, Canada, Australia and numerous other countries.  On January 16, 1991 a massive air assault on Iraq initiated the land, air and sea attacks to liberate Kuwait and eventually into Southern Iraq.  While the assault succeeded in freeing Kuwait and restoring its ruling family to power, and it also succeeded in destroying Iraqi air power and much of its land force, there were notable shortcomings and failures. The failure of the Coalition led by President Bush of the United States to authorize a full invasion of Iraq enabled Saddam Hussein to remain in power.  When an uprising among the Shi’a population in the South was at first encouraged by the Allies but then abandoned to itself it allowed Saddam Hussein to use his remaining ground forces to suppress and brutally put down the opposition around Basra. 
Although in the aftermath of Kuwait and the First Gulf War severe international sanctions were put in place against Iraq, Saddam Hussein would remain in full power for another 12 years until the Second Gulf War of 2003.  The Allied coalition of 2003 led by the United States with significant British participation, along with other allied nations was ordered without a United Nations referendum.  The ten-year invasion and occupation of Iraq that toppled the regime and dictatorship of Saddam Hussein is now recognized as destablizing the entire country of Iraq.  Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair admitted to the disastrous results of his policies in an interview in the Fall of 2015.  The role of these allied coalitions as effective international policemen for the region is a complex topic for historians as it they functioned as armies where the GCC and local countries lack adequate military manpower.